China's One Belt, One Road: The Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-century Maritime Silk Road Implications for Connectivity and Regional Trade - Forecast to 2030 - Research and Markets

DUBLIN, Oct. 17, 2018 /PRNewswire/ --

The "One Belt, One Road: Implications for Connectivity and Regional Trade, Forecast to 2030" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

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The aim of this insight is to research and analyze the key developments relating to the China's One Belt, One Road initiative and assess the likely implications to the economy, trade, freight transportation, and warehousing sectors across Asia, Middle East, Africa, and Europe.

Lack of seamless connectivity and poor infrastructure remain the major challenges for trade and logistics in many countries in the Eurasian region. China's One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative is expected to improve connectivity by inter-linking the transport infrastructure across East Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia, Central Asia, Middle East, East Africa and European countries. It will help China to overcome some of the problems associated with its domestic economy such as a decline in export competitiveness due to increasing labor cost and excess capacity. Further, it will lead to improved connectivity to support the international expansion of domestic companies of the major trading partners along OBOR.

Developments of projects relating to OBOR are likely to be undertaken in phased manner at different time periods due to financial constraints, local administrative hurdles, pending clearances from government agencies, and, in some cases, public unrest due to a lack of transparency in funding allocation - i.e., absence of international standards on transparency, the rule of law, and adequate financing for projects. Macroeconomic stability, long-term impact on employment, industrial growth, infrastructure finance, and the capacity to service debt funds secured from international and infrastructure development institutions of participating OBOR countries are some of the key factors likely to determine the success of this massive exercise. Clarity relating to dispute handling mechanisms concerning OBOR related projects is expected to remain an important factor in determining the success of the projects. To this end, an international commercial court is being set up in Beijing to resolve any project related disputes.

Research Highlights

This study specifically focuses on the development of economic corridors relating to BRI with focus on improving connectivity with Europe, Central Asia, Middle East and East Africa, South Asia and Southeast Asia. Current and expected growth trends in trade are analyzed to evaluate potential implications for cross-border trade, connectivity, multimodal logistics, and the overall trade growth. New trade routes along the OBOR would enhance multimodal transportation across Asia, Middle East, Africa, Central Asia, and Europe, resulting in estimated trade volumes with China to around $3 Trillion by 2030.

Key Findings

    --  Infrastructure developments across all modes of transport would result
        in a shift in the modal mix from a road-dependent modal to a more
        balanced modal. This shift will augment the establishment of a
        sustainable transport system and encourage the usage of multimodal
        transportation. Connecting network of maritime terminals with inland
        ports and the development of major distribution and logistics hubs in
        the Middle East, Central Asia and Eastern Europe will help handle
        cross-border trade volumes. Rail-road connectivity in landlocked Central
        Asian countries will service major distribution hubs and economic zones.
    --  The availability of adequate transport infrastructure is expected to
        have a favorable impact on promoting the economic development of
        countries due to the development of economic zones and industrial parks,
        innovation centers, logistics parks, bonded warehouses, and cold chain
        logistics facilities. Moreover, investments in industrialization tend to
        move into locations with adequate transport infrastructure. Development
        of industrial cities and special economic zones along the Silk Road is
        expected to boost the demand for specialized logistics services such as
        cold chain logistics, built-to-suit warehouses, and on-demand
        transportation services.
    --  With rising labor cost issues, Chinese manufacturers are shifting their
        industrial bases to the country's interior and other landlocked regions
        such as Chongqing and Chengdu, to reduce the cost of production. In some
        cases, projects are relocated to low-cost ASEAN countries. Thus,
        efficiency of connectivity becomes an important part of their expansion
        strategy to move raw materials and finished goods across regions.
        Development of the Silk Road across the region will facilitate
        manufacturers to establish better connectivity with key export
        destinations with sufficient transport mode options such as high-speed
        rail, highways, and modern ports. These factors would enable them to
        experiment on multimodal transportation.
    --  The trade between Asia and Europe is significant and growing at a
        consistent pace. Driven by the high demand from Europe, automotive,
        consumer electronics, cosmetics, and toys are some of the major industry
        clusters that will benefit from the Silk Road. Most manufacturers would
        rely on third-party service providers to manage their logistics
        services. The logistics companies will prepare solutions including
        transportation and distribution, warehousing and fulfillment, integrated
        logistics, and multimodal transport solutions to meet the growing needs.
    --  eCommerce is growing at a rapid pace, and China is one of the most
        preferred destinations for online shoppers worldwide, especially those
        from Europe, driven by the lower prices and wide variety of product
        offerings. Fulfillment of online orders within shorter timelines and at
        lower costs still remains a major challenge in the cross-border
        eCommerce industry. With development of the new routes, the transport
        time and costs between Asia and China would be reduced significantly.

Key Features

    --  To provide an overview of the China's OBOR initiative and identify the
        measures undertaken by governments to improve freight transportation
        efficiency and reduce logistics costs
    --  To provide an in-depth analysis on the development of economic corridors
        and analyze the role of transportation and logistics sector in driving
        growth
    --  To provide a holistic view on how the trade is expected to transform as
        a result of infrastructure developments, cross-border eCommerce growth,
        and development of economic zones
    --  To assess the expected changes in China's trade with the Silk Road
        participating nations by 2030 and provide implications for the overall
        logistics growth in these regions
    --  To analyze the industry segments that would pop up along the routes and
        identify the potential opportunities for the logistics participants.

Key Topics Covered:

1. Executive Summary
Executive Summary
6 Economic Corridors
Key Findings
Research Scope
Key Questions this Study will Answer

2. Introduction
Introduction
Silk Road - Overview
History of Silk Road
Ancient Trade Routes

3. One Belt, One Road
One Belt, One Road
International Maritime Routes
Selected Intra-Region and Inter-Region Trade Flow
Participating Nations
Investments
China's Trade Scenario

4. The 6 Economic Corridors
The 6 Economic Corridors
Silk Road - An Overview
China - Pakistan - Economic Corridor
Bangladesh - China - India - Myanmar (BCIM) Economic Corridor
Bangladesh - China - India - Myanmar
China - Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor
China - Central and West Asia Economic Corridor
China - Mongolia - Russia Economic Corridor
New Eurasia Land Bridge (NELB) Economic Corridor
Cross-border eCommerce
New Eurasia Land Bridge Economic Corridor

5. Blue Economic Passage
Blue Economic Passage
Blue Economic Passage
Key Ports Along the Blue Economic Passage
Blue Economic Passage

6. Competing Visions

7. Way Forward
Way Forward
Trade
3CsCost, Capability, and Competitiveness - Challenges
Logistics Implications

8. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunity - Logistics Services
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

9. The Last Word

10. Appendix
Appendix
Project Details - Europe
Project Details - Central and South Asia
Project Details - Southeast Asia

For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/3htzbf/chinas_one_belt?w=5

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