Global Agricultural Robots and Drones Forecasts 2018-2038: Technologies, Markets and Players

BOSTON, June 28, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- The recent market report Agricultural Robots and Drones 2018-2038: Technologies, Markets and Players from business intelligence firm IDTechEx Research analyses how robotic market and technology developments will change the business of agriculture, enabling ultra-precision and/or autonomous farming and helping address key global challenges.

It develops a detailed roadmap of how robotic technology will enter into different aspects of agriculture, how it will change the way farming is done and transform its value chain, how it becomes the future of agrochemicals business and how it will modify the way we design agricultural machinery.

In particular, Agricultural Robots and Drones 2018-2038: Technologies, Markets and Players provides:

Market forecasts: The report provides granular twenty-year (2018-2038) market forecasts for 16 market categories. IDTechEx built a twenty-year model because their technology roadmap suggests that these changes will take place over long timescales. The market forecasts are often segmented by territory. All assumptions and data points are clearly explained.

More specifically, the report covers the following 16 categories: static milking robots, mobile dairy farm robotics, autonomous agricultural small robots (data scouts, weeding and multi-platform), autonomous tractors (simple guidance, autosteer, fully unmanned autonomy), robotic implements (simple and highly intelligent), robotic strawberry harvesting, robotic fresh fruit picking, and agricultural drones (data scouts, data services/analytics, multi-functional drones, unmanned spraying helicopters).

Technology assessment: A detailed technology assessment is included covering all the key robotic/drone projects, prototypes and commercial products relevant to the agricultural sector. Furthermore, the report offers an overview and assessment of key technological components such as vision sensors, LIDARs, novel end-effectors, and hyper/multi-spectral sensors. Technology roadmaps also outline how different equipment is increasingly becoming vision-enabled, intelligent and unmanned/autonomous.

This report also analyses the key enabling hardware and software technologies underpinning new robotics. For the hardware part, long-term price and performance trends in transistors, memory, energy storage, electric motors, GPS, cameras, and MEMS technology are considered. For the software side, the latest achievements in deep learning applications in various fields are covered.

Application assessment: A detailed application assessment covering dairy farms, fresh fruit harvesting, organic farming, crop protection, data mapping, seeding, nurseries, and so on. For each application/sector, a detailed overview of the existing industry is given, the needs for and the challenges facing the robotic technology are analyzed, the addressable market size is estimated by territory, and granular ten-year market projections are given.

Company profiles: More than 20 interview-based full company profiles with detailed SWOT analysis, 45 company profiles without SWOT analysis, and the works of more than 80 companies/research groups listed and summarized.

Will tractors evolve towards full unmanned autonomy?

Tractor guidance and autosteer are well-established technologies. In the short to medium terms, both will continue their growth thanks to improvements and cost reductions in RTK GPS technology. Indeed, IDTechEx Research estimate that around 700k tractors equipped with autosteer or tractor guidance will be sold in 2028. They also assess that tractor guidance sales, in unit numbers and revenue, will peak around 2027-2028 before a gradual decline commences. This is because the price differential between autosteer and tractor guidance will narrow, causing autosteer to attract more of the demand. Note that the model accounts for the declining cost of navigational autonomy (e.g., level 4 for autosteer).

Unmanned autonomous tractors have also been technologically demonstrated with large-scale market introduction largely delayed not by technical issues but by regulation, high sensor costs and the lack of farmers' trust. This will start to slowly change from 2024 onwards. However the sales will only slowly grow. IDTechEx Research estimate that around 40k unmanned fully-autonomous (level 5) tractors will be sold in 2038. The uptake will remain slow as users will only slowly become convinced that transitioning from level 4 to level 5 autonomy is value for money. This process will be helped by the rapidly falling price of the automation suite.

Overall, the model suggests that tractors with some degree of autonomy will become a $27Bn market at the vehicle level (our model also forecasts the added value that navigational autonomy provides).

The rise of fleets of small agricultural robots

Autonomous mobile robots are causing a paradigm shift in the way we envisage commercial and industrial vehicles. In traditional thinking bigger is often better. This is because bigger vehicles are faster and are thus more productive. This thinking holds true so long as each vehicle requires a human driver. The rise of autonomous mobility is however upending this long-established notion: fleets of small slow robots will replace or complement large fast manned vehicles.

These robots appear like strange creatures at first: they are small, slow, and lightweight. They therefore are less productive on a per unit basis than traditional vehicles. The key to success however lies in fleet operation. This is because the absence of a driver per vehicle enables remote fleet operation. The IDTechEx Research model suggests that there is a very achievable operator-to-fleet-size ratio at which such agrobots become commercially attractive in the medium term.

We are currently at the beginning of the beginning. Indeed, most examples of such robots are only in the prototype or early stage commercial trial phase. These robots however are now being trailed in larger numbers by major companies, whilst smaller companies are making very modest sales. The inflection point, IDTechEx suggests, will arrive in 2024 onwards. At this point, sales will rapidly grow. These small agrobot fleets themselves will also grow in capability, evolving from data acquisition to weeding to offering multiple functionalities. Overall, IDTechEx Research anticipate a market as large as $900M and $2.5Bn by 2028 and 2038, respectively. This will become a significant business but even it will remain a small subset of the overall agricultural vehicle industry.

Implements will become increasingly intelligent

Implements predominantly perform a purely mechanical functional today. There are some notable exceptions, particularly in organic farming. Here, implements are equipped with simple row-following vision technology, enabling them to actively and precisely follow rows.

This is however changing as robotic implements become highly intelligent. Indeed, early versions essentially integrated multiple computers onto the implement. These are today used for advanced vision technology enabled by machine learning (e.g. deep learning). Here, the intelligent implements learn to distinguish between crops and weeds as the implement is pulled along the field, enabling them to take site-specific weeding action.

IDTechEx Research anticipate that such implements will become increasingly common in the future. They are currently still in their early generations where the software is still learning, and the hardware is custom built and ruggedized by small firms. Recent activities including acquisitions by major firms suggest that this is changing.

Robotics finally succeed in fresh fruit harvesting?

Despite non-fresh fruit harvesting being largely mechanized, fresh fruit picking has remained mostly out of the reach of machines or robots. Picking is currently done using manual labour with machines at most playing the part of an aid that speeds up the manual work.

A limited number of fresh strawberry harvesters are already being commercially trialled and some are transitioning into commercial mode. Some versions require the farm layout to be changed and the strawberry to be trained to help the vision system identify a commercially-acceptable percentage of strawberries. Others are developing a more universal solution compatible with all varieties of strawberry farms.

Progress in fruit picking in orchards has been slower. This is because it is still a technically challenging task: the vision system needs to detect fruits inside a complex canopy whilst robotic arms need to rapidly, economically and gently pick the fruit.

This is however beginning to change, albeit slowly. Novel end effectors including those based on soft robotics that passively adapt to the fruit's shape, improved grasping algorithms underpinned by learning processes, low-cost good-enough robotic arms working in parallel, and better vision systems are all helping push this technology towards commercial viability.

IDTechEx Research forecast that commercial sales- either as equipment sales or service provision- will slowly commence from 2024 and that an inflection point will arrive around 2028. They suggest a market value for $500M per year for fresh fruit picking in orchards.

Drones bring in increased data analytics into farming

Agriculture will be a major market for drones, reaching over $420M in 2028. Agriculture is emerging as one of the main addressable markets as the drone industry pivots away from consumer drones that have become heavily commoditized in recent years.

Drones in the first instances bring aerial data acquisition technology to even small farm operators by lowering the cost of deployment compared to traditional methods like satellites. This market will grow as more farmers become familiar with drone technology and costs become lower. The market will also change as it evolves: drones will take on more functionalities such as spraying and data analytic services that help farmers make data-driven decisions will grow in value.

Note that the use of unmanned aerial technology is not just limited to drones. Indeed, unmanned remote-controlled helicopters have already been spraying rice fields in Japan since early 1990s. This is a maturing technology/sector with overall sales in Japan having plateaued. This market may however benefit from a new injection of life as suppliers diversify into new territories

Robotics in dairy farms is a multibillion dollar market already

Thousands of robotic milking parlours have already been installed worldwide, creating a $1.6Bn industry. This industry will continue its grow as productivity is established. Mobile robots are also already penetrating dairy farms, helping automate tasks such as feed pushing or manure cleaning. In general, this is a major robotic market about to which little attention is paid.

For more on agricultural robotics and drones visit www.IDTechEx.com/agri.

Media Contact:
Charlotte Martin
Marketing & Research Co-ordinator
c.martin@IDTechEx.com
+44(0)1223 812300

Report Table of Contents

    1.       EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    1.1.     What is this report about?

    1.2.     Growing population and growing demand for food

    1.3.     Major crop yields are plateauing

    1.4.     Employment in agriculture

    1.5.     Global evolution of employment in agriculture

    1.6.     Aging farmer population

    1.7.     Trends in minimum wages globally

    1.8.      Towards ultra precision agriculture via the variable
              rate technology route

    1.9.      Ultra Precision farming will cause upheaval in the
              farming value chain

    1.10.     Agricultural robotics and ultra precision
              agriculture will cause upheaval in agriculture's
              value chain

    1.11.     Agriculture is one the last major industries to
              digitize: a look a investment in data analytics/
              management firms in agricultural and dairy farming

    1.12.     The battle of business models between RaaS and
              equipment sales

    1.13.     Transition towards to swarms of small, slow, cheap
              and unmanned robots

    1.14.     Market and technology readiness by agricultural
              activity

    1.15.     Technology progression towards driverless autonomous
              large-sized tractors

    1.16.     Technology progression towards autonomous, ultra
              precision de-weeding

    1.17.     Technology and progress roadmap for robotic fresh
              fruit harvesting

    1.18.     20-year market forecasts (2018 to 2038) for
              agricultural robots and drones segmented by 16
              technologies

    1.19.    Summary of market forecasts

    1.20.     Tractors evolving towards full autonomy: 2018-2038
              market forecasts in unit numbers segmented by level
              of navigational autonomy

    1.21.     Tractors evolving towards full autonomy: 2018-2038
              market forecasts in market value segmented by level
              of navigational autonomy

    1.22.     Tractors evolving towards full autonomy: 2018-2038
              market forecasts segmented by level of navigational
              autonomy (value of automation only)

    1.23.     The rise of fleets of small autonomous robots:
              2018-2038 market forecasts in unit numbers
              segmented by level of robot functionality

    1.24.     The rise of fleets of small autonomous robots:
              2018-2038 market forecasts in market value
              segmented by level of robot functionality

    1.25.     Robotic tractor-pulled implements become
              increasingly intelligent and multi-functional:
              2018-2038 market forecasts

    1.26.     Robotic fresh fruit harvesting will overcome
              challenges but only in the long run: 2018-2038
              market forecasts for robotic fresh fruit harvesting

    1.27.     Agricultural drones become multi-purpose and data
              services capture more value: 2018-2038 market
              forecasts

    1.28.     Robotic milking are already a major market:
              2018-2038 market forecasts

    1.29.     Mobile robots and drones dominate the agricultural
              robotic market: 2018-2038 market forecasts
              segmented by mobility vs stationary robots

    2.       AUTONOMOUS MOBILITY FOR LARGE TRACTORS

    2.1.     Number of tractors sold globally

    2.2.      Value of crop production and average farm sizes per
              region

    2.3.     Revenues of top agricultural equipment companies

    2.4.     Overview of top agricultural equipment companies

    2.5.      Tractor Guidance and Autosteer Technology for Large
              Tractors

    2.6.     Auto steer for large tractors

    2.7.     Ten-year forecasts for autosteer tractors

    2.8.     Master-slave or follow-me large autonomous tractors

    2.9.     Fully autonomous driverless large tractors

    2.10.    Fully autonomous unmanned tractors

    2.11.     Technology progression towards driverless autonomous
              large-sized tractors

    2.12.     Handsfree Hectar: fully autonomous human-free
              barley farming

    2.13.     Tractors evolving towards full autonomy: 2018-2038
              market forecasts in unit numbers segmented by level
              of navigational autonomy

    2.14.     Tractors evolving towards full autonomy: 2018-2038
              market forecasts in market value segmented by level
              of navigational autonomy

    2.15.     Tractors evolving towards full autonomy: 2018-2038
              market forecasts segmented by level of navigational
              autonomy (value of automation only)

    3.       AUTONOMOUS ROBOTIC AGRICULTURAL PLATFORMS

    3.1.     Autonomous small-sized agricultural robots

    3.2.     FENDT (AGCO) launches swarms of autonomous agrobots

    3.3.     Autonomous agricultural robotic platforms

    4.       AUTONOMOUS ROBOTIC WEED KILLING

    4.1.      From manned, broadcast towards autonomous, ultra
              precision de-weeding

    4.2.      Crop protection chemical sales per top suppliers
              globally

    4.3.     Sales of top global and Chinese herbicide suppliers

    4.4.     Global herbicide consumption data

    4.5.     Glyphosate consumption and market globally

    4.6.      Regulations will impact the market for robotic weed
              killers?

    4.7.     Penetration of herbicides in different field crops

    4.8.     Growing challenge of herbicide-resistant weeds

    4.9.     Autonomous weed killing robots

    4.10.    Autonomous robotic weed killers

    4.11.    Organic farming

    4.12.    Robotic mechanical weeding for organic farming

    4.13.     Technology progression towards autonomous, ultra
              precision de-weeding

    4.14.     The rise of fleets of small autonomous robots:
              2018-2038 market forecasts in unit numbers
              segmented by level of robot functionality

    4.15.     The rise of fleets of small autonomous robots:
              2018-2038 market forecasts in market value
              segmented by level of robot functionality

    5.        ROBOTIC IMPLEMENTS: WEEDING, VEGETABLE THINNING, AND
              HARVESTING

    5.1.     Autonomous lettuce thinning robots

    5.2.     Why asparagus harvesting should be automated

    5.3.     Automatic asparagus harvesting

    5.4.     Robotic/Automatic asparagus harvesting

    5.5.      Addressable market size for robotic lettuce thinning
              and weeding service provision

    5.6.      Robotic tractor-pulled implements become
              increasingly intelligent and multi-functional:
              2018-2038 market forecasts

    6.       ROBOTIC FRESH FRUIT PICKING

    6.1.      Field crop and non-fresh fruit harvesting is
              largely mechanized

    6.2.     Fresh fruit picking remains largely manual

    6.3.      Machining aiding humans in fresh fruit harvesting
              have not evolved in the past 50 years

    6.4.      Emerging robotic fresh fruit harvest assist
              technologies

    6.5.     Robot orchard data scouts and yield estimators

    6.7.     Robotic fresh apple harvesting

    6.8.     Fresh fruit harvesting robots

    6.9.      Technology and progress roadmap for robotic fresh
              fruit harvesting

    6.10.     Addressable market size for robotic fresh apple-
              picking service provision

    6.11.     Robotic fresh fruit harvesting will overcome
              challenges but only in the long run: 2018:2038
              market forecasts for robotic fresh fruit harvesting

    6.12.    Robotic fresh strawberry harvesting

    6.13.    Evolution of fresh strawberry harvesting robots

    6.14.     Fully autonomous strawberry picking robots with soft
              grippers

    6.15.     Addressable market size for robotic fresh
              strawberry-picking service provision

    6.16.     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic fresh
              strawberry harvesting by territory

    7.       VINE PRUNING ROBOTS

    7.1.     Autonomous robotic vineyard scouts and pruners

    8.       GREENHOUSES AND NURSERIES

    8.1.     Autonomous robotics for greenhouses and nurseries

    9.       ROBOTIC SEEDERS

    9.1.     Variable rate technology for precision seed planting

    9.2.     Robotic seed planting

    10.      ROBOTIC DAIRY FARMING

    10.1.    Global trends and averages for dairy farm sizes

    10.2.     Global number and distribution of dairy cows by
              territory

    10.3.    Robotic milking parlours

    10.4.    Overview of robotic milking parlours

    10.5.    Autonomous robotic feed pushers

    10.6.    Alternatives to autonomous robotic feed pushers

    10.7.    Autonomous robotic shepherds

    10.8.    Autonomous manure cleaning robots

    10.9.     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic milking
              systems by country

    10.10.    Robotic milking are already a major market:
              2018-2038 market forecasts

    11.      AERIAL DATA COLLECTION AND DRONES

    11.1.    Drones: dominant designs begin to emerge

    11.2.    Drones: moving past the hype?

    11.3.    Drones: company formation slows down

    11.4.    Drones: global geographical spread of companies

    11.5.    Drones: platforms commoditize?

    11.6.    Drones: market forecasts

    11.7.    Drones: application pipeline

    11.8.    Satellite vs plane vs drone mapping and scouting

    11.9.    Benefits of using aerial imaging in farming

    11.10.   Unmanned drones in rice field pest control in Japan

    11.11.   Unmanned drones and helicopters for field spraying

    11.12.   Unmanned agriculture drones on the market

    11.13.    Comparing different agricultural drones on the
              market

    11.14.   Regulation barriers coming down?

    11.15.   Agricultural drones: the emerging value chain

    11.16.    Core company information on key agricultural drone
              companies

    11.17.    Software opportunities: Vertical focused actionable
              analytics

    11.18.   Drones: increasing autonomy

    11.19.   Ten-year market forecasts for agricultural drones

    12.      ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES: GRIPPER TECHNOLOGY

    12.1.     Suction-based end effector technologies for fresh
              fruit harvesting

    12.2.     Simple and effective robotic end effectors for fruit
              harvesting

    12.3.     Soft robotics based end effector technologies for
              fresh fruit handling

    12.4.    Pneumatic soft actuator: extensible layer + fiber

    12.5.    Soft actuator: self-contained McKibbern-type muscle

    12.6.    Shape Deposition Manufacturing (SDM) Compliant Joint

    12.7.    Fabrication processes for soft robotic actuators

    12.8.     Robotic end effector technologies for fresh fruit
              harvesting

    12.9.    Dexterous robotic hands for agricultural robotics

    12.10.   Examples of dexterous robotic hands

    13.       ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES: NAVIGATIONAL TECHNOLOGIES
              (RTK, LIDAR, LASERS AND OTHERS)

    13.1.    RTK systems: operation, performance and value chain

    13.2.    Lidar- basic operation principles

    13.3.    Review of LIDARs on the market or in development

    13.4.     Performance comparison of different LIDARs on the
              market or in development

    13.5.     Assessing suitability of different LIDAR for
              agricultural robotic applications

    13.6.    Hyperspectral image sensors

    13.7.    Hyperspectral imaging and precision agriculture

    13.8.    Hyperspectral imaging in other applications

    13.9.    Hyperspectral imaging sensors on the market

    13.10.    Common multi-spectral sensors used with
              agricultural drones

    13.11.   GeoVantage

    13.12.    Why is new robotics becoming possible now? A
              hardware point of view

    13.13.   Why is new robotics possible now?

    13.14.   Transistors (computing): price evolution

    13.15.   Transistors (computing): performance evolution

    13.16.    Memory (RAM, hard driver and flash): price evolution
              in $/Mbit

    13.17.   Memory: performance evolution in Gbit/ sq inch

    13.18.   Sensors (Camera): price evolution

    13.19.   Sensors (MEMS): price evolution

    13.20.    Sensors (GPS): price and market adoption (in unit
              numbers) evolution of GPS sensors

    13.21.    Is Lidar on a similar path as other robotic sensor
              technologies?

    13.22.    Li ion battery: performance evolution in Wh/Kg and
              Wh/L

    13.23.    Energy storage technologies: price evolution in
              $/kWh by sector

    13.24.    Electric motors: evolution of size of a given output
              since 1910

    13.25.   Artificial intelligence: waves of development

    13.26.    Terminologies explained: AI, machine learning,
              artificial neural networks, deep neural networks

    13.27.   Rising interesting in deep learning

    13.28.   Algorithm training process in a single layer

    13.29.    Towards deep learning by deepening the neutral
              network

    13.30.    The main varieties of deep learning approaches
              explained

    13.31.   Evolution of deep learning

    13.32.    The rise of the big data quantified: fuel for deep
              learning applications

    13.33.    Examples of milestones in deep learning AI: word
              recognition supresses human level

    13.34.    Deepening the neutral network to increase accuracy
              rate

    13.35.   GPUs: an enabling component for deep learning?

    13.36.    Examples of milestones in deep learning AI:
              translation approaching human level performance

    13.37.    Examples of milestones in deep learning AI: leap in
              progress in robotic grasping

    13.38.   What is 'good enough' accuracy in deep learning?

    13.39.    RoS and RoS-I: major open source movement slashing
              development costs and enticing OEMs to finally
              engage

    13.40.    Robotic Operating System (RoS): Examples of cutting
              edge projects

    14.      COMPANY INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

    14.1.    Interview based company profiles

    14.1.1.  Agrobot

    14.1.2.  Blue River Technology

    14.1.3.  DeepField Robotics

    14.1.4.  F. Poulsen Engineering ApS

    14.1.5.  Fresh Fruit Robotics

    14.1.6.  Harvest CROO Robotics

    14.1.7.  Ibex Automation

    14.1.8.  miRobot

    14.1.9.  Naio Technologies

    14.1.10. Nippon Signal

    14.1.11. Parrot

    14.1.12. Precision Hawk

    14.1.13. Quanergy

    14.1.14. Robotic Solutions

    14.1.15. Shadow Solutions

    14.1.16. Soft Robotics Inc

    14.1.17. Stream Technologies

    14.1.18. SwarmFarm Robotics

    14.1.19. Tillet and Hague

    14.1.20. Velodyne LIDAR

    14.2.    Company Profiles

    14.2.1.  3D Robotics

    14.2.2.  AGCO

    14.2.3.  AgEagle

    14.2.4.  AgJunction Inc

    14.2.5.  Agribotix

    14.2.6.  Airinov

    14.2.7.  Autonomous Tractor Cooperation

    14.2.8.  Beijing UniStrong Science and Technology (BUST)

    14.2.9.  Case IH

    14.2.10. Dogtooth Technologies

    14.2.11. Empire Robotics

    14.2.12. Farmbot

    14.2.13. Festo Gamaya

    14.2.14. GrabIT

    14.2.15. Harvest Automation

    14.2.16. Headwall

    14.2.17. HerdDog

    14.2.18. HETO

    14.2.19. HiPhen

    14.2.20. Hortau

    14.2.21. John Deere

    14.2.22. Kinzes Autonomous Harvest System

    14.2.23. Kubota Corp

    14.2.24. L'Avion Jaune

    14.2.25. LeddarTech

    14.2.26. Lely

    14.2.27. LemnaTec

    14.2.28. Magnificant

    14.2.29. Mavrx

    14.2.30. McRobotic

    14.2.31. MicaSense

    14.2.32. Motorleaf

    14.2.33. NavCom

    14.2.34. Near Earth Autonomy

    14.2.35. Novariant

    14.2.36. Orbital Insight

    14.2.37. Pix4D

    14.2.38. Prospera

    14.2.39. Qubit Systems

    14.2.40. Robotics Plus

    14.2.41. Robotnik

    14.2.42. Scanse

    14.2.43. senseFly

    14.2.44. Sentra

    14.2.45. SkySquirrel

    14.2.46. SpelR

    14.2.47. Trimble

    14.2.48. UAV-IQ Precision Agriculture

    14.2.49. Urban Crops

    14.2.50. URSULA Agriculture

    14.2.51. VineRangers

    14.2.52. Yanmar

    14.2.53. Yara

ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES: LONG-TERM PRICE AND PERFORMANCE TRENDS IN KEY HARDWARE COMPONENTS ( TRANSISTORS, MEMORY, CAMERA, MEMS, GPS, BATTERIES, ELECTRIC MOTORS, ETC)

ENABLING TECHNOLOGY: SOFTWARE, DEEP LEARNING AND BIG DATA

TABLES AND FIGURES

     Evolution of agricultural machinery from manual hoes through
      to robots

     Population growth between 1950 and 2050 segmented by
      development stage

     Income growth of developed and developing countries between
      2005 and 2050

     Expansion in global arable land between 1961 to 2050 in
      million ha

     Grain yield improvements by territory for wheat, maize and
      rice between 1950 to 2012

     Share of labour force working in agriculture between 1300 to
      2000 for England, Netherlands, Italy France and Poland

     Output per unit of labour in agriculture between 1961 to 2001
      by country

     Global map of agricultural employment for 1980s, 1990s, 2000s,
      and 2010s

     Average age of principal farm operator in the USA between 192
      to 2120


    Average age of different farmer groups in Australia


    Correlation between minimum wage and GPD per person at PPP


    Minimum wage level in $/hr by country

     Real hourly wage for non-supervisory hired farm works in the
      US between 1990 and 2012

     Technology roadmap showing progression from constant rate
      technology, to variable rate technology and now ultra-
      precision technology

     Existing and emerging value chain of agriculture showing how
      robotic technologies shift value away from traditional
      players


    Assessing the pros and cons of RaaS vs. equipment sale model

     Evolution of agriculture machinery from heavy, fast, large to
      light, slow and small

     Soil compaction depth as a function of year caused by
      increased vehicle weight

     Table showing that new robots need to be 24 times cheaper than
      traditional tractor models

     Market and technology readiness chart placing different
      agricultural robotic technology on levels ranging from proof-
      of-concept to fully maturity

     Market and technology readiness chart placing different
      agricultural robotic companies on levels ranging from proof-
      of-concept to fully maturity

     Technology roadmap showings technology progression from manned
      tractor to tractor guidance to manned autosteer to master-
      slave and to fully autonomous tractors

     Technology roadmap showing progress from manned aerial
      vehicles towards fully autonomous ultra-precision weeding

     Technology roadmap showings the progression of robotic
      technology in fresh fruit harvesting

     Ten-year market forecasts segmented by 14 agricultural
      robotics categories

     Number of tractors sold globally between 2010 and 2014 by
      country

     Number of tractors sold in the USA and Canada by horse power
      level between 2006 and 2015

     Total value of crop production in $bn between 2009 and 2016
      fir EU, USA, Brazil, CIS, China and India

     Table showing the number and average size of farms in USA, EU,
      Brazil, CIS, China and India

     Revenues in $bn of leading tractor suppliers including Yanmar,
      Deutz Fahr, Mihandra, AGCO, John Deere, Kubota Tractor Corp.,
      CNN Industrial and so on

     5-or 10-year annual sales for Kubota, John Deere, AGCO,
      Mihandra, CNH Industrial, Deutz Fahr and so on


    RTK GPS-enabled auto-steer technology

     Number of GNSS receivers in used agriculture between 2006 and
      2023 segmented by tractor guidance, automatic steering, VRT
      and asset management

     Market value (in $m) for GNSS receivers used in agriculture
      between 2006 and 2023 segmented by tractor guidance,
      automatic steering, VRT and asset management

     Unit price ($/unit) of GNSS receivers used in agriculture
      between 2006 and 2023 segmented by tractor guidance,
      automatic steering, VRT and asset management

     Master-slave autonomous tractors by Yanmar, Fendt, Case IT,
      John Deere and Kinze Autonomy

     Fully autonomous tractors by Yanmar, Kubota Corp., and
      Autonomous Tractor Corp.

     Technology roadmap showings technology progression from manned
      tractor to tractor guidance to manned autosteer to master-
      slave and to fully autonomous tractors

     Ten-year market forcasts for tractor guidance, autosteer and
      fully autonomous tractors/combines


    Agbot II by QUT

     Kongskilde Vibro Crop Robotti by by Kongskilde Industries A/S
      and Conpleks Innovation.


    Astrix autonomous agricultural robot by Adigo


    Horibit autonomous agricultural robot by Aarhus University

     Ladybird autonomous agricultural robot by Australian Centre of
      Field Studies

     Autonomous tractors by the The Robot Fleers for Highly
      Effective Agriculture and Forestry Management project


    ATRV-2


    Autonomous agricultural robot KU Leuven and FMTC


    Autonomous agricultural robot by Rowbot for cornfields


    Ten-year market forecasts for autonomous robotic data scouts

     Technology evolution from manual hoeing to large-scale
      broadcast spraying to unmanned drone spraying to manned
      weeding with high precision and finally to autonomous weeding
      with ultra-high precision

     Crop protection revenues for top ten global agrochemical
      suppliers including Monsanto, Sumitomo Chemical, Agricultural
      Solutions Ltd, DuPont, Bayer, Syngenta, BASF, DOW, Nufran

     Crop protection revenues for top 20 Chinease suppliers
      including Zheijang Wynca Chemical Industrial Group, Zhejiam
      Jinfanda BioChemical, Nutrichem, Sichuan Leshan Fuhua Tonga
      Agrochemical and so on

     2014 and 2015 herbicide sales for Monsanto, Sumitomo Chemical,
      Agricultural Solutions Ltd, DuPont, Bayer, Syngenta, BASF,
      DOW, Nufran


    Revenue map of Top ten Chinese producers of glyphosate

     Historical data on global herbicide consumption in tonnes
      between 2004 and 2014 segmented by country

     Glyphosate global consumption in agricultural and non-
      agricultural activities between 1994 and 2014 in Kg


    Market size for glyphosate in $bn between 2004 and 20014

     Historical growth in adoption of GE-HE seeds for major field
      crops such as soybeans, cotton, and corn

     Increase in the number of herbicide-resistant weed species
      between 1950 and today

     Total area in acres covered with herbicide-resistant weeds in
      the US between 1998 and 2014

     Geographical spread of herbicide-resistant weeds in the US by
      state


    Autonomous robotic weeder


    Development of organic land in million ha


    Distribution of organic land between different uses


    Robotic weeding implements for organic farming

     Ten-year market forecast for robotic weeding by technology
      type


    Autonomous asparagus harvesting robots


    Autonomous lettuce thinning robots

     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic lettuce thinning and
      vegetable harvesting by technology and territory


    Non-fresh fruit harvesting machines


    Machines aiding manual fresh fruit harvesting


    Robotic bin follower


    Robotic orchard data scouts


    Emerging robotic fresh fruit harvest assist technologies


    Robotic fresh apple harvesting


    Robotic fresh citrus harvesting


    Fresh fruit harvesting robots

     Addressable market size for robotic fresh apple-picking
      service provision

     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic fresh citrus/apple
      harvesting by territory


    Robotic fresh strawberry harvesting

     Addressable market size for robotic fresh strawberry-picking
      service provision

     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic fresh strawberry
      harvesting by territory


    Autonomous robotic vineyard scouts and pruners


    Autonomous robotics for greenhouses and nurseries


    Schematic showing the concept of VRT for seed planting


    Robotic seed planting


    Map of average dairy farm sizes worldwide

     Average size and number of dairy farms in the US between 1970
      and 2007


    Global number and distribution of dairy cows by country


    Addressable market for robotic milking machines by country


    Addressable market for robotic feed pushers by country


    Lely's robotic milking machine


    Robotic milking machines


    Autonomous robotic feed pushers


    Robotic manure cleaning


    Alternatives to autonomous robotic feed pushers


    Autonomous robotic shepherds

     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic milking systems by
      country

     Ten-year market forecasts for automatic feed pusher and other
      mobile robotics in dairy farming

     Table comparing the resolution, image acquisition cost, image
      processing cost and minimum order size for satellite imaging


    Annual sales of unmanned spraying helicopters in Japan

     Area of rice paddies in Japan sprayed by unmanned helicopters
      between in Ha


    Unmanned drones and helicopters for field spraying


    Unmanned agriculture drones on the market

     Table comparing different agricultural drones on the market on
      the basis of price, type, autonomy, cruise speed, flight time
      and so on


    Agricultural drones: the emerging value chain


    Core company information on key agricultural drone companies


    Ten-year market forecasts for agricultural drones


    Suction-based end effectors by Vision Robotics


    Suction-based end effectors by Abundant Robotics


    Other novel end-effectors in development

     Soft robotic grippers by Soft Robotics, Festo, Empire Robotic,
      Pneubotics

     Dexterous robotic by Shadow Robotics, Schunk, Allegro, Willow
      Garage and so on

     Value chain of RTK GPS Technology from signal service provides
      to receiver manufacturers to device vendors to tractor
      companies

     Performance levels of DGPS, OmniStar XP/HP and RTK
      technologies


    Basic operational mechanism of LIDAR


    LIDAR examples

     Table comparing the performance of different LIDARs on the
      market or in development

     Table assessing suitability of different LIDAR for
      agricultural robotic applications


    Hyperspectral imaging and precision agriculture


    Hyperspectral imaging sensors on the market


    Common multi-spectral sensors used with agricultural drones

     Ten-year market forecasts for all agricultural robots and
      drones segmented by type and/or function

     Ten-year market forecasts for agricultural robots and drones
      segmented by type and/or function

     Ten-year market forecasts for autonomous and mobile
      agricultural robots and drones segmented by type and/or
      function

     Ten-year market forecasts for tractor guidance, autosteer and
      fully autonomous tractors/combines


    Ten-year market forecasts for autonomous robotic data scouts

     Ten-year market forecast for robotic weeding by technology
      type

     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic lettuce thinning and
      vegetable harvesting by technology and territory

     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic fresh citrus/apple
      harvesting by territory

     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic fresh strawberry
      harvesting by territory

     Ten-year market forecasts for robotic milking systems by
      country

     Ten-year market forecasts for automatic feed pusher and other
      mobile robotics in dairy farming


    Ten-year market forecasts for agricultural drones

Related Links

Further IDTechEx Research on Robotics

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