Central and Eastern Europe Telecoms Market Report 2019: 5-Year Forecast of More than 330 Mobile and Fixed KPIs for CEE

DUBLIN, Nov. 14, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- The "The Central and Eastern Europe Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2019 - 2024" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

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Mobile service revenue will account for 67% of the total telecoms service revenue in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) in 2024. 5G revenue is expected to account for around 41% of the total mobile service revenue by 2024. Fixed broadband and specialist business service revenue will be crucial for revenue growth in the fixed segment.

Both revenue streams will increase at a similar CAGR of 2.6% between 2018 and 2024. Fixed network operators will be looking for opportunities to reduce infrastructure costs, and fibre network roll-outs will continue across the region.

This Report and Associated Data Annex Provide:

    --  a 5-year forecast of more than 330 mobile and fixed KPIs for CEE, as a
        whole and for 16 key countries
    --  an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for
        each type of mobile and fixed service, and for the key countries
    --  an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order
        to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country
        comparison
    --  a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile
        and fixed operators.

Forecasts are informed by on-the-ground regional market experts from topic-led research programmes and the consulting division, as well as external interviews. In addition to the robust set of historical data, the forecasts draw on a unique and in-house modelling tool, which applies a rigorous methodology (reconciliation of different sources, standard definitions, top-down and bottom-up modelling).

Geographical coverage

Region modelled

    --  Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)

Key performance indicators

Connections

Mobile

    --  Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
    --  Prepaid, contract
    --  2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
    --  Smartphone,
    --  non-smartphone

Fixed

    --  Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
    --  Narrowband voice, VoBB
    --  DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, 5G, other

Fixed and mobile voice traffic

    --  Outgoing minutes, MoU

Revenue

Mobile

    --  Service, retail
    --  Prepaid, contract
    --  Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
    --  Handset voice, messaging, data

Fixed

    --  Service, retail
    --  Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, business services
    --  DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Mobile ARPU

    --  SIMs, handset
    --  Prepaid, contract
    --  Handset voice, data

Key Topics Covered:

Executive summary and recommendations

    --  Telecoms service revenue growth will be driven by the demand for data
        and the monetisation of network investments
    --  The rate of telecoms retail revenue growth mainly depends on LTE network
        expansions, NGA network investments and fixed broadband service takeup
    --  Geographical coverage: the share of NGA connections will increase to
        84%, and the 4G/5G share of mobile connections will exceed 85% in 2024
    --  Key trends, drivers and assumptions for the mobile and fixed markets
    --  Key recommendations for telecoms operators
    --  Regional forecasts and cross-country comparison
    --  Market context: the pace of economic growth may start to fall in CEE
    --  Key mergers, acquisitions and market entries
    --  Key drivers at a glance for each Central and Eastern Europe market

Market overview: fixed broadband and mobile handset data services will remain the largest areas for revenue growth

    --  Mobile: the total number of mobile connections will decline by 2024 due
        to market saturation and migration from multi-SIM prepaid plans to
        contract services
    --  Mobile: penetration in CEE will plateau, mainly due to market saturation
    --  Mobile: mobile ARPU will increase in CEE, stimulated by LTE expansions
        and the associated increase in data usage
    --  Mobile: the outlook for mobile ARPU and handset revenue is positive
        thanks to increasing LTE-A coverage and the growing adoption of contract
        subscriptions
    --  Fixed: over 60% of households in CEE will have an active NGA broadband
        connection in 2024
    --  Fixed: NGA network roll-outs and attractive bundled offers will support
        broadband household penetration growth across the region
    --  Fixed: increasing broadband household penetration and NGA service takeup
        will help operators to maintain reasonably stable ASPU levels
    --  Fixed: the increasing coverage of high-speed broadband networks will
        help operators to maintain broadband revenue growth
    --  Specialist business services: operators' business services revenue
        growth will slow down towards the end of the forecast
    --  IoT: the largest share of IoT revenue in CEE will come from the
        automotive sector
    --  Pay TV: traditional services will account for the majority of pay-TV
        revenue growth in CEE, but operator OTT revenue will grow rapidly, while
        that from DTH declines

Individual country forecasts

    --  Czech Republic: the expected entry of a fourth mobile player will cause
        mobile revenue to decline slightly from 2022 onwards
    --  Czech Republic: fixed-wireless will remain the most popular fixed
        broadband technology, but the number of fibre subscribers will grow
        rapidly
    --  Czech Republic: the mobile market is relatively uncompetitive but this
        is likely to change following the introduction of a new mobile operator
    --  Czech Republic: forecast changes
    --  Poland: fixed broadband revenue will increase, but the total market
        revenue growth will be limited by strong competition in the mobile
        segment
    --  Poland: operators' investments in NGA networks will slow down towards
        the end of the forecast period
    --  Poland: investments in infrastructure will allow operators to maintain
        ASPUlevels despite the high competitive pressure
    --  Poland: forecast changes
    --  Russia: strong revenue growth from mobile connectivity and fixed
        broadband will help to offset declining revenue from legacy services
    --  Russia: the NGA share of all broadband connections will reach 95% by
        2024
    --  Russia: mobile and broadband revenue will grow modestly due to
        enhancements in service quality and favourable macroeconomic conditions
    --  Russia: forecast changes
    --  Turkey: mobile data usage will be the major driver of revenue growth,
        followed by broadband services
    --  Turkey: the high mobile ASPU will be maintained due to growth in the
        take up of mobile data services
    --  Turkey: increasing fibre household penetration and expanding LTE network
        coverage will help to maintain the high broadband and mobile ASPU
    --  Turkey: forecast changes

Methodology

    --  The forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
    --  Examples of forecast input drivers

For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/r/7csoah

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