Central and Eastern Europe Telecoms Market Report 2019: 5-Year Forecast of More than 330 Mobile and Fixed KPIs for CEE
DUBLIN, Nov. 14, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- The "The Central and Eastern Europe Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2019 - 2024" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.
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Mobile service revenue will account for 67% of the total telecoms service revenue in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) in 2024. 5G revenue is expected to account for around 41% of the total mobile service revenue by 2024. Fixed broadband and specialist business service revenue will be crucial for revenue growth in the fixed segment.
Both revenue streams will increase at a similar CAGR of 2.6% between 2018 and 2024. Fixed network operators will be looking for opportunities to reduce infrastructure costs, and fibre network roll-outs will continue across the region.
This Report and Associated Data Annex Provide:
-- a 5-year forecast of more than 330 mobile and fixed KPIs for CEE, as a whole and for 16 key countries -- an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for the key countries -- an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison -- a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.
Forecasts are informed by on-the-ground regional market experts from topic-led research programmes and the consulting division, as well as external interviews. In addition to the robust set of historical data, the forecasts draw on a unique and in-house modelling tool, which applies a rigorous methodology (reconciliation of different sources, standard definitions, top-down and bottom-up modelling).
Geographical coverage
Region modelled
-- Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
Key performance indicators
Connections
Mobile
-- Handset, mobile broadband, IoT -- Prepaid, contract -- 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G -- Smartphone, -- non-smartphone
Fixed
-- Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up -- Narrowband voice, VoBB -- DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, 5G, other
Fixed and mobile voice traffic
-- Outgoing minutes, MoU
Revenue
Mobile
-- Service, retail -- Prepaid, contract -- Handset, mobile broadband, IoT -- Handset voice, messaging, data
Fixed
-- Service, retail -- Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, business services -- DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Mobile ARPU
-- SIMs, handset -- Prepaid, contract -- Handset voice, data
Key Topics Covered:
Executive summary and recommendations
-- Telecoms service revenue growth will be driven by the demand for data and the monetisation of network investments -- The rate of telecoms retail revenue growth mainly depends on LTE network expansions, NGA network investments and fixed broadband service takeup -- Geographical coverage: the share of NGA connections will increase to 84%, and the 4G/5G share of mobile connections will exceed 85% in 2024 -- Key trends, drivers and assumptions for the mobile and fixed markets -- Key recommendations for telecoms operators -- Regional forecasts and cross-country comparison -- Market context: the pace of economic growth may start to fall in CEE -- Key mergers, acquisitions and market entries -- Key drivers at a glance for each Central and Eastern Europe market
Market overview: fixed broadband and mobile handset data services will remain the largest areas for revenue growth
-- Mobile: the total number of mobile connections will decline by 2024 due to market saturation and migration from multi-SIM prepaid plans to contract services -- Mobile: penetration in CEE will plateau, mainly due to market saturation -- Mobile: mobile ARPU will increase in CEE, stimulated by LTE expansions and the associated increase in data usage -- Mobile: the outlook for mobile ARPU and handset revenue is positive thanks to increasing LTE-A coverage and the growing adoption of contract subscriptions -- Fixed: over 60% of households in CEE will have an active NGA broadband connection in 2024 -- Fixed: NGA network roll-outs and attractive bundled offers will support broadband household penetration growth across the region -- Fixed: increasing broadband household penetration and NGA service takeup will help operators to maintain reasonably stable ASPU levels -- Fixed: the increasing coverage of high-speed broadband networks will help operators to maintain broadband revenue growth -- Specialist business services: operators' business services revenue growth will slow down towards the end of the forecast -- IoT: the largest share of IoT revenue in CEE will come from the automotive sector -- Pay TV: traditional services will account for the majority of pay-TV revenue growth in CEE, but operator OTT revenue will grow rapidly, while that from DTH declines
Individual country forecasts
-- Czech Republic: the expected entry of a fourth mobile player will cause mobile revenue to decline slightly from 2022 onwards -- Czech Republic: fixed-wireless will remain the most popular fixed broadband technology, but the number of fibre subscribers will grow rapidly -- Czech Republic: the mobile market is relatively uncompetitive but this is likely to change following the introduction of a new mobile operator -- Czech Republic: forecast changes -- Poland: fixed broadband revenue will increase, but the total market revenue growth will be limited by strong competition in the mobile segment -- Poland: operators' investments in NGA networks will slow down towards the end of the forecast period -- Poland: investments in infrastructure will allow operators to maintain ASPUlevels despite the high competitive pressure -- Poland: forecast changes -- Russia: strong revenue growth from mobile connectivity and fixed broadband will help to offset declining revenue from legacy services -- Russia: the NGA share of all broadband connections will reach 95% by 2024 -- Russia: mobile and broadband revenue will grow modestly due to enhancements in service quality and favourable macroeconomic conditions -- Russia: forecast changes -- Turkey: mobile data usage will be the major driver of revenue growth, followed by broadband services -- Turkey: the high mobile ASPU will be maintained due to growth in the take up of mobile data services -- Turkey: increasing fibre household penetration and expanding LTE network coverage will help to maintain the high broadband and mobile ASPU -- Turkey: forecast changes
Methodology
-- The forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge -- Examples of forecast input drivers
For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/r/7csoah
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