Mercury General Corporation Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2019 Results and Declares Quarterly Dividend

LOS ANGELES, Feb. 10, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Mercury General Corporation (NYSE: MCY) reported today the fourth quarter and fiscal 2019 results:

                                                                                                                                
            
              
             Consolidated Highlights

                                                                                                                                                          ---



                                           
            
              Three Months Ended                   
       
         Change     
     
              Twelve Months Ended                                   
     
     Change
                                                         December 31,                                                           December 31,


                                                  2019                            2018          
     
       $                %   2019                                        2018                 
     
     $                      %




     
              (000's except per-share amounts and ratios)


      Net premiums earned                                $
            925,384                                $
       868,233              $
            57,151                                    6.6                              $
      3,599,418               $
            3,368,411                    $
        231,007                 6.9
                                                                                                                                                                                       %                                                                                                                             %


      Net premiums written (1)                           $
            896,140                                $
       850,609              $
            45,531                                    5.4                              $
      3,731,723               $
            3,495,633                    $
        236,090                 6.8
       (2)                                                                                                                                                                            %                                                                                                                             %




      Net income (loss)                                   $
            31,688                               $
       (81,879)            $
            113,567                            
            NM                 $
        320,087               $
        (5,728)                     $
         325,815                   
         NM


      Net income (loss) per
       diluted share (3)                                    $
            0.57                                 $
       (1.48)               $
            2.05                            
            NM                    $
        5.78                $
        (0.10)                        $
         5.88                   
         NM




      Operating income (loss)                             $
            11,884                               $
       (14,599)             $
            26,483                            
            NM                 $
        144,081                $
        99,753                       $
         44,328                       44.4
       (1)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  %


      Operating income (loss)                               $
            0.21                                 $
       (0.26)               $
            0.47                            
            NM                    $
        2.60                  $
        1.80                         $
         0.80                       44.4
       per diluted share (1)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 %


      Catastrophe losses net of                           $
            36,000                                 $
       43,000             $
            (7,000)                                (16.3)                                $
      53,000                  $
            67,000                   $
        (14,000)             (20.9)
       reinsurance (4)                                                                                                                                                                 %                                                                                                                             %


      Combined ratio (5)                 103.2
          %                                 106.7
     %                                          (3.5) pts            99.4
          %                        100.7
     %                                               (1.3) pts




     NM = Not Meaningful





     
                (1)    These measures are not based on U.S.
                            generally accepted accounting
                            principles ("GAAP"), are defined in
                            "Information Regarding GAAP and
                            Non-GAAP Measures" and are
                            reconciled to the most directly
                            comparable GAAP measures in
                            "Supplemental Schedules."



     
                (2)    The Company, which predominantly
                            offers six-month personal
                            automobile insurance policies,
                            reintroduced twelve-month personal
                            automobile policies for new
                            business in its largest insurance
                            subsidiary, Mercury Insurance
                            Company ("MIC"), in March 2018.
                            Twelve-month policies are
                            generally sold for twice the price
                            of six-month policies. MIC's net
                            premiums written from twelve-month
                            policies was approximately $88
                            million and $63 million for the
                            three months ended December 31,
                            2019 and 2018, respectively, and
                            approximately $354 million and $205
                            million for the twelve months ended
                            December 31, 2019 and 2018,
                            respectively.



     
                (3)    The dilutive impact of incremental
                            shares is excluded from net loss
                            position in accordance with GAAP.



     
                (4)    Catastrophe losses due to the
                            catastrophe events that occurred
                            during the three and twelve months
                            ended December 31, 2019 totaled
                            approximately $37 million and $57
                            million, respectively, with no
                            reinsurance benefits used for these
                            losses. The  majority of the 2019
                            catastrophe losses resulted from
                            wildfires and winter storms in
                            California, a hurricane in Texas,
                            and tornadoes and wind and hail
                            storms in the Midwest. These losses
                            were partially offset by favorable
                            development of approximately $1
                            million and $4 million on prior
                            years' catastrophe losses for the
                            three and twelve months ended
                            December 31, 2019, respectively.
                            Catastrophe losses before
                            reinsurance benefits totaled
                            approximately $255 million and $289
                            million for the three and twelve
                            months ended December 31, 2018,
                            respectively. 2018 catastrophe
                            losses were primarily due to
                            wildfires in Northern and Southern
                            California. Weather-related
                            catastrophes across several states
                            made up the remainder of the 2018
                            catastrophe losses.



     
                (5)    The Company experienced favorable
                            development of approximately $1
                            million and unfavorable development
                            of approximately $23 million on
                            prior accident years' loss and loss
                            adjustment expense reserves for the
                            three months ended December 31,
                            2019 and 2018, respectively, and
                            unfavorable development of
                            approximately $10 million and $93
                            million on prior accident years'
                            loss and loss adjustment expense
                            reserves for the twelve months
                            ended December 31, 2019 and 2018,
                            respectively. The year-to-date
                            unfavorable development in 2019 was
                            primarily attributable to higher
                            than estimated defense and cost
                            containment expenses in the
                            California automobile line of
                            insurance business, partially
                            offset by favorable development on
                            prior years' loss and loss
                            adjustment expense reserves,
                            including catastrophe losses, in
                            certain of the Company's other
                            lines of insurance business, while
                            the year-to-date unfavorable
                            development in 2018 was primarily
                            attributable to higher than
                            estimated California automobile
                            losses resulting from severity in
                            excess of expectations for bodily
                            injury claims as well as higher
                            than estimated defense and cost
                            containment expenses in the
                            California automobile line of
                            insurance business.

                                                                           
             
           
           Investment Results

                                                                                               ---



                                                               Three Months Ended                                        Twelve Months Ended

                                                
           
             December 31,                       
              
                December 31,


                                             2019                                      2018                        2019                      2018



                  (000's except average
                   annual yield)


     Average invested assets
      at cost (1)                                 $
          4,104,014                                $
              3,808,842                          $
            4,008,601 $
       3,740,497


     Net investment income
      (2)


          Before income taxes                        $
          35,701                                   $
              31,383                            $
            141,263   $
       135,838


          After income taxes                         $
          31,793                                   $
              28,608                            $
            125,637   $
       121,476


     Average annual yield on
      investments -after
      income taxes (2)                  3.1
        %                                 3.0
         %                              3.1
            %                3.3
           %




     
     (1) Fixed maturities and short-term
              bonds at amortized cost; equities
              and other short-term investments
              at cost. Average invested assets
              at cost are based on the monthly
              amortized cost of the invested
              assets for each period.



     
     (2) The higher net investment income
              before and after income taxes for
              the three and twelve months ended
              December 31, 2019 compared to the
              corresponding periods in 2018
              resulted largely from higher
              average invested assets. Average
              annual yield on investments after
              income taxes for the three months
              ended December 31, 2019 increased
              compared to the corresponding
              period in 2018, primarily due to
              higher returns on the Company's
              investments in private equity
              funds. Average annual yield on
              investments after income taxes for
              the twelve months ended December
              31, 2019 decreased compared to the
              corresponding period in 2018,
              primarily due to maturity and
              replacement of higher yielding
              investments purchased when market
              interest rates were higher with
              lower yielding investments, as a
              result of decreasing market
              interest rates.

The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.6300 per share. The dividend will be paid on March 31, 2020 to shareholders of record on March 17, 2020.

Mercury General Corporation and its subsidiaries are a multiple line insurance organization offering predominantly personal automobile and homeowners insurance through a network of independent producers in many states. For more information, visit the Company's website at www.mercuryinsurance.com. The Company will be hosting a conference call and webcast today at 10:00 A.M. Pacific time where management will discuss results and address questions. The teleconference and webcast can be accessed by calling (877) 807-1888 (USA), (706) 679-3827 (International) or by visiting www.mercuryinsurance.com. A replay of the call will be available beginning at 1:30 P.M. Pacific Time and running through February 17, 2020. The replay telephone numbers are (855) 859-2056 (USA) or (404) 537-3406 (International). The conference ID# is 7889459. The replay will also be available on the Company's website shortly following the call.

The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a "safe harbor" for certain forward-looking statements. Certain statements contained in this report are forward-looking statements based on the Company's current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those anticipated by the Company. Actual results may differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties (some of which are beyond the control of the Company) and are subject to change based upon various factors, including but not limited to the following risks and uncertainties: changes in the demand for the Company's insurance products, inflation and general economic conditions, including general market risks associated with the Company's investment portfolio; the accuracy and adequacy of the Company's pricing methodologies; catastrophes in the markets served by the Company; uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions and projections generally; the possibility that actual loss experience may vary adversely from the actuarial estimates made to determine the Company's loss reserves in general; the Company's ability to obtain and the timing of the approval of premium rate changes for insurance policies issued in states where the Company operates; legislation adverse to the automobile insurance industry or business generally that may be enacted in the states where the Company operates; the Company's success in managing its business in non-California states; the presence of competitors with greater financial resources and the impact of competitive pricing and marketing efforts; the ability of the Company to successfully manage its claims organization outside of California; the Company's ability to successfully allocate the resources used in the states with reduced or exited operations to its operations in other states; changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and legal, cyber security, regulatory and litigation risks. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as the result of new information, future events or otherwise. For a more detailed discussion of some of the foregoing risks and uncertainties, see the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

                                                                                 
              
                MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

                                                                                         
              
                SUMMARY OF OPERATING RESULTS

                                                                                        
              (000's except per-share amounts and ratios)

                                                                                                        
              (unaudited)




                                                                     Three Months Ended                                
              
                Twelve Months Ended
                                                                                                                                       December 31,
                                                      
            
            December 31,


                                                    2019                          2018                           2019                                     2018

                                                                                                                                                        ---


       Revenues:


             Net premium
              earned                                     $
          925,384                                                $
              868,233                        $
             3,599,418      $
       3,368,411


             Net investment
              income                              35,701                                         31,383                                               141,263                    135,838


             Net realized
              investment
              gains (losses)                      25,068                                       (85,165)                                              222,793                  (133,520)


             Other                                 1,840                                          2,167                                                 9,044                      9,275



                  Total revenues                         $
          987,993                                                $
              816,618                        $
             3,972,518      $
       3,380,004




       Expenses:


             Losses and loss
              adjustment
              expenses                           738,103                                        724,939                                             2,706,024                  2,576,789


             Policy
              acquisition
              costs                              154,114                                        147,365                                               602,085                    572,164


             Other operating
              expenses                            63,055                                         54,505                                               269,305                    244,630


             Interest                              4,256                                          4,257                                                17,035                     17,036



                  Total expenses                         $
          959,528                                                $
              931,066                        $
             3,594,449      $
       3,410,619





        Income (loss)
         before income
         taxes                                    28,465                                      (114,448)                                              378,069                   (30,615)


             Income tax
              (benefit)
              expense                            (3,223)                                      (32,569)                                               57,982                   (24,887)



                            Net income
                             (loss)                       $
          31,688                                               $
              (81,879)                         $
             320,087        $
       (5,728)





        Basic average
         shares
         outstanding                              55,357                                         55,340                                                55,351                     55,335


        Diluted average
         shares
         outstanding                              55,361                                         55,340                                                55,360                     55,335




                     Basic Per Share Data

    ---

        Net income
         (loss)                                             $
          0.57                                                 $
              (1.48)                            $
             5.78         $
       (0.10)


        Net realized
         investment
         gains
         (losses), net
         of tax                                             $
          0.36                                                 $
              (1.22)                            $
             3.18         $
       (1.90)




                     Diluted Per Share Data

    ---

        Net income
         (loss)                                             $
          0.57                                                 $
              (1.48)                            $
             5.78         $
       (0.10)


        Net realized
         investment
         gains
         (losses), net
         of tax                                             $
          0.36                                                 $
              (1.22)                            $
             3.18         $
       (1.90)




                     Operating Ratios-GAAP Basis

    ---

        Loss ratio                        79.8
            %                                83.5
            %                                       75.2
            %             76.5
           %


        Expense ratio                     23.5
            %                                23.3
            %                                       24.2
            %             24.2
           %

                                                                                                                                                                                         ---

        Combined ratio                             103.2                                          106.7
         (a)                                           %                                             %                                       99.4
            %            100.7
           %

                                                                                                                                                                                         ===


                                Combined ratios for the
                                  three months ended
                                  December 31, 2019 and 2018
                                  do not sum due to
               (a)                rounding.

                                                   
              
                MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

                                                  
              
                CONDENSED BALANCE SHEETS AND OTHER INFORMATION

                                                          
              (000's except per-share amounts and ratios)




                                                                     December 31, 2019                                     December 31, 2018

                                                                                                                                    ---

                                                                  (unaudited)


                 
              
                
                  ASSETS

                                      ---


     Investments, at fair value:


           Fixed maturity securities
            (amortized cost $2,973,276;
            $2,969,541)                                                                  $
              3,093,275                               $
     2,985,161


           Equity securities (cost
            $648,282; $544,082)                                                724,751                                             529,631


           Short-term investments (cost
            $494,060; $254,518)                                                494,135                                             253,299



                Total investments                                            4,312,161                                           3,768,091



     Cash                                                                     294,398                                             314,291



     Receivables:



          Premiums                                                            604,871                                             555,038


           Accrued investment income                                            40,107                                              45,373



          Other                                                                 6,464                                               6,132



                Total receivables                                              651,442                                             606,543


      Reinsurance recoverables                                                  78,774                                             221,088


      Deferred policy acquisition
       costs                                                                   233,166                                             215,131



     Fixed assets, net                                                        168,986                                             153,023


      Operating lease right-of-use
       assets                                                                   44,909



     Current income taxes                                                       7,642                                              38,885


      Deferred income taxes                                                          -                                             13,339



     Goodwill                                                                  42,796                                              42,796


      Other intangible assets, net                                              10,636                                              15,534



     Other assets                                                              44,247                                              45,008



                Total assets                                                             $
              5,889,157                               $
     5,433,729





                                         LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

                                      ---

      Loss and loss adjustment
       expense reserves                                                                  $
              1,921,255                               $
     1,829,412



     Unearned premiums                                                      1,355,547                                           1,236,181



     Notes payable                                                            372,133                                             371,734


      Accounts payable and accrued
       expenses                                                                143,318                                             115,071


      Operating lease liabilities                                               47,996


      Deferred income taxes                                                     27,964



     Other liabilities                                                        221,442                                             263,647



     Shareholders' equity                                                   1,799,502                                           1,617,684



                Total liabilities and
                 shareholders' equity                                                    $
              5,889,157                               $
     5,433,729





                                                  OTHER INFORMATION

                                      ---

      Common stock shares outstanding                                           55,358                                              55,340



     Book value per share                                                      $32.51                                              $29.23


      Statutory surplus (a)                                   
              $1.54 billion                                   
      $1.47 billion


      Net premiums written to surplus
       ratio (a)                                                                  2.42                                                2.38


      Debt to total capital ratio (b)                                   17.2
            %                                     18.8
            %


      Portfolio duration (including
       all short-term instruments)
       (a)(c)                                                                3.2 years                                          4.0 years


      Policies-in-force (company-wide "PIF") (a)


           Personal Auto PIF                                                     1,139                                               1,157



          Homeowners PIF                                                          646                                                 600


           Commercial Auto PIF                                                      36                                                  37





               (a)    
              Unaudited.


               (b)               Debt to Debt plus Shareholders'
                                  Equity (Debt at face value).


               (c)               Modified duration reflecting
                                  anticipated early calls.


       
                SUPPLEMENTAL SCHEDULES



       (000's except per-share amounts and ratios)


       (unaudited)


                                                                                                            Three Months Ended December 31,                             Twelve Months Ended December 31,


                                                                                                 2019                        2018                    2019                                       2018

                                                                                                                                                                                              ---




       
                Reconciliations of Comparable GAAP Measures to Operating Measures 
     (a)

    ---




       Net premiums earned                                                                           $
         925,384                                       $
       868,233                                  $
         3,599,418 $
         3,368,411



       Change in net unearned premiums                                                      (29,244)                               (17,624)                              132,305                                127,222



       Net premiums written                                                                          $
         896,140                                       $
       850,609                                  $
         3,731,723 $
         3,495,633






       Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses                                                  $
         738,103                                       $
       724,939                                  $
         2,706,024 $
         2,576,789



       Change in net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves                              (93,791)                              (118,528)                             (196,602)                              (201,942)



       Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses                                                      $
         644,312                                       $
       606,411                                  $
         2,509,422 $
         2,374,847






       Net income (loss)                                                                              $
         31,688                                      $
       (81,879)                                   $
         320,087   $
         (5,728)




       Less: Net realized investment gains (losses)                                           25,068                                (85,165)                              222,793                              (133,520)



                Tax on net realized investment gains (losses) (b)                              5,264                                (17,885)                               46,787                               (28,039)



                    Net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax                        19,804                                (67,280)                              176,006                              (105,481)




       Operating income (loss)                                                                        $
         11,884                                      $
       (14,599)                                   $
         144,081    $
         99,753






       Per diluted share:



       Net income (loss)                                                                                $
         0.57                                        $
       (1.48)                                      $
         5.78    $
         (0.10)



       Less: Net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax                                 0.36                                  (1.22)                                 3.18                                 (1.90)




       Operating income (loss)                                                                          $
         0.21                                        $
       (0.26)                                      $
         2.60      $
         1.80






       Combined ratio                                                                                                                        99.4
     %                             100.7
            %



       Effect of estimated prior periods' loss development                                                                                  (0.3)
     %                             (2.8)
            %




       Combined ratio-accident period basis                                                                                                  99.1
     %                              97.9
            %




               (a)               See "Information Regarding GAAP
                                  and Non-GAAP Measures" on
                                  page 7.


               (b)               Federal statutory rate of 21%.

Information Regarding GAAP and Non-GAAP Measures

The Company has presented information within this document containing operating measures which in management's opinion provide investors with useful, industry specific information to help them evaluate, and perform meaningful comparisons of, the Company's performance, but that may not be presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are not intended to replace, and should be read in conjunction with, the GAAP financial results.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income. Operating income is net income excluding realized investment gains and losses, net of tax. Operating income is used by management along with the other components of net income to assess the Company's performance. Management uses operating income as an important measure to evaluate the results of the Company's insurance business. Management believes that operating income provides investors with a valuable measure of the Company's ongoing performance as it reveals trends in the Company's insurance business that may be obscured by the effect of net realized investment gains and losses. Realized investment gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by external economic developments such as capital market conditions. Accordingly, operating income highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of the Company's core insurance business. Operating income, which is provided as supplemental information and should not be considered as a substitute for net income, does not reflect the overall profitability of the Company's business. It should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See "Supplemental Schedules" above for a reconciliation of net income to operating income.

Net premiums earned, the most directly comparable GAAP measure to net premiums written, represents the portion of premiums written that is recognized as revenue in the financial statements for the periods presented and earned on a pro-rata basis over the term of the policies. Net premiums written is a statutory financial measure which represents the premiums charged on policies issued during a fiscal period less any applicable reinsurance. Net premiums written is designed to determine production levels and is meant as supplemental information and not intended to replace net premiums earned. Such information should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See "Supplemental Schedules" above for a reconciliation of net premiums earned to net premiums written.

Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses is the most directly comparable GAAP measure to paid losses and loss adjustment expenses. Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses excludes the effects of changes in the loss reserve accounts. Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses is provided as supplemental information and is not intended to replace incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses. It should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See "Supplemental Schedules" above for a reconciliation of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses to paid losses and loss adjustment expenses.

Combined ratio is the most directly comparable measure to combined ratio-accident period basis. Combined ratio-accident period basis is computed as the difference between two GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio and prior accident periods' loss development ratio. Management believes that combined ratio-accident period basis is useful to investors and it is used to reveal the trends in the Company's results of operations that may be obscured by development on prior accident periods' loss reserves. Combined ratio-accident period basis is meant as supplemental information and is not intended to replace the GAAP combined ratio. It should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See "Supplemental Schedules" above for a reconciliation of GAAP combined ratio to combined ratio-accident period basis.

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SOURCE Mercury General Corporation