Astana Club: TOP-10 Risks for Eurasia Are Already Coming True in 2021

NUR-SULTAN, Kazakhstan, Feb. 25, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Astana Club, one of the most esteemed geopolitical forums for Europe and Asia, announces the latest edition of the international rating "TOP-10 Risks for Eurasia in 2021".

The rating is developed by the Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP), comprising over 40 international experts and 1,200 professional respondents from 75 countries in Eurasia.

The COVID-19 pandemic remains the key element to accelerate the risks in 2021 and affects recovery, social stability, digital and climate threats and the escalation of confrontations between key geopolitical players.

A brief rundown of the TOP-10 risks is presented below:

    1. THE PANDEMIC 2.0Given the absence of effective international cooperation
       mechanisms to combat the infection and the constant mutation of the
       virus, the pandemic threatens to continue throughout 2021, possibly
       longer.


    2. RECOVERY UNDER THREATThe pandemic, collapse of economic activity,
       geopolitical and social instability and the debt crisis of emerging
       markets are key factors that threaten the shaky recovery of the world
       economy.


    3. US-CHINA COLD WARThe US and China have crossed practically all "red
       lines" during the pandemic; this confrontation will transform into full
       scale systemic conflict in 2021.


    4. CRISIS AROUND IRANGrowing tensions around Iran may trigger a large-scale
       military confrontation, thus dealing a crushing blow to the international
       energy market.


    5. DECOUPLINGDecoupling of the West and China will not only continue under
       the new US administration but will gain a dangerous new dynamic in 2021.


    6. DISSOLUTION OF THE NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION REGIMEThe erosion of key
       nuclear treaties and institutions along with outstripping developments in
       military technologies threaten to initiate a new nuclear arms race.


    7. EXPLODING SOCIAL PROTESTSPolitical systems in many countries will come
       under unprecedented pressure as the economic and social impact of
       COVID-19 mounts.


    8. GLOBAL CYBER CRISISThe absence of uniform rules in the digital domain
       opens the road to massive cyber-attacks, which may become the catalyst
       for a global-level crisis.


    9. DIGITAL TOTALITARIANISMTotal digitalization, accelerated by the pandemic,
       offers unprecedented opportunities to control personal data and political
       censure, creating the risk of a new type of totalitarianism.

    10. FAILURE OF DECARBONISATIONIn 2021, the world will be concerned with
        recovering economic growth, meaning plans to decarbonize and reduce CO2
        emissions will be pushed to one side, especially in developing
        countries.

The full report is available at: Link

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SOURCE Astana Club