Mainframe Modernization Services Market to Reach USD 76.16 Billion by 2032, Growing at a CAGR of 15.1%: Credence Research

PUNE, India, June 18, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- According to a recent market analysis published by Credence Research, the global Mainframe Modernization Services Market is set to experience extraordinary growth, expanding from USD 21.5 billion in 2024 to USD 76.16 billion by 2032. This surge reflects a strong compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.1% from 2025 to 2032. The report attributes this growth to the rising demand among enterprises to upgrade legacy infrastructure, reduce maintenance costs, and enhance agility through digital transformation.

Credence Research notes that enterprises across sectors--particularly banking, insurance, healthcare, and government--are accelerating mainframe modernization to align with cloud-first strategies and future-ready IT ecosystems. The growing need for integration with modern digital platforms, along with advancements in automation, AI, and microservices architecture, is expected to further drive market momentum in the years ahead.

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Key Growth Determinants - Mainframe Modernization Services Market

Demand for Operational Efficiency and Business Agility
Organizations are under pressure to respond quickly to market changes and customer demands. Legacy mainframes often lack the flexibility and speed needed for modern operations. By modernizing these systems, companies can improve performance, streamline workflows, and increase adaptability--leading to faster decision-making and reduced time-to-market.

    --  A leading French bank achieved a 70% increase in operational performance
        and realized ROI within six months after migrating its mainframe
        application to a distributed Linux environment, demonstrating the
        tangible efficiency gains possible through modernization.
    --  In the retail sector, a major UK retailer modernized its mainframe
        environment, supporting critical operations like branch management and
        claims processing, by migrating to a cloud-based, open-standard
        platform. This shift enabled the organization to respond more adeptly to
        market demands and customer expectations, laying a robust foundation for
        future competitiveness.

Accelerated Adoption of Cloud Technologies
Cloud computing plays a central role in modern IT infrastructure. Businesses are increasingly migrating mainframe workloads to public, private, or hybrid cloud environments to benefit from scalability, lower infrastructure costs, and seamless access to advanced tools. Mainframe modernization enables integration with cloud platforms, supporting cloud-native development and DevOps practices.

    --  Scalability and flexibility, allowing systems to expand or contract
        based on real-time needs.
    --  Lower infrastructure and maintenance costs, as cloud providers assume
        responsibility for hardware and security.
    --  Seamless integration with advanced tools, supporting cloud-native
        development and DevOps practices, which accelerates innovation and
        deployment cycles.
    --  For example, the aforementioned retailer transitioned from IBM z/OS to
        Java and PostgreSQL on Google Cloud Platform, aligning IT infrastructure
        with modern standards and reducing risks tied to legacy systems.

Rising Costs and Risks of Legacy System Maintenance
Maintaining outdated mainframes is becoming increasingly expensive and complex. Hardware support is declining, and specialized skills are scarce, leading to higher operational risks and costs. Modernization allows companies to replace rigid legacy frameworks with more cost-effective, future-proof solutions.

    --  On average, legacy systems cost teams nearly $40,000 annually to
        maintain, with IT workers losing about 17 hours per week just on
        upkeep--almost half the workweek. In sectors like manufacturing and
        energy/utilities, annual maintenance costs can exceed $53,000 per
        worker.
    --  The scarcity of specialized mainframe skills, as many experts retire,
        further increases operational risks and costs.
    --  Modernization efforts can result in significant cost savings, with some
        organizations reporting up to 80% reductions in operational and
        maintenance expenses after transitioning to modern platforms.

Enterprise-Wide Digital Transformation Initiatives
Industries such as banking, insurance, retail, and healthcare are investing in digital transformation to stay competitive. Mainframe modernization is a foundational step in this journey, enabling seamless data flow, real-time analytics, and integration with emerging technologies like AI, IoT, and blockchain--driving innovation and customer-centric solutions.

    --  Modernization enables seamless data flow, real-time analytics, and
        integration with emerging technologies like AI, IoT, and blockchain,
        which are critical for driving innovation and delivering
        customer-centric solutions.
    --  In the banking sector, moving high-volume document management off the
        mainframe to distributed platforms not only reduced technical debt but
        also ensured secure, modernized assets and uninterrupted service for end
        users.
    --  Retailers and other enterprises have validated that modernized
        environments support broader digital transformation, positioning
        organizations to adapt to future technological advancements and market
        shifts.

Key Growth Barriers - Mainframe Modernization Services Market

    --  High Upfront Capital ExpenditureDespite long-term operational savings,
        mainframe modernization projects often require substantial initial
        investments. Costs can include new hardware, software licenses, cloud
        services, and skilled consulting. For many organizations--especially
        small and mid-sized enterprises--budget limitations may delay or
        restrict modernization plans, making it difficult to justify the
        transition financially in the short term.

    --  Complexity of Legacy Systems and ArchitectureMany mainframes have been
        in operation for decades, containing tightly coupled, business-critical
        applications with custom code and undocumented processes. Migrating
        these systems involves high technical risk, as even small errors can
        disrupt core operations. This complexity can slow down project
        execution, inflate costs, and make some organizations hesitant to
        modernize altogether.

    --  Lack of Skilled ResourcesThere is a dual talent gap in the
        market--experienced legacy system experts are retiring, while
        professionals skilled in modern platforms often lack mainframe-specific
        knowledge. This shortage hinders smooth migration and increases
        dependency on specialized service providers, driving up project costs
        and timelines.

    --  Regulatory and Compliance ChallengesOrganizations in regulated
        industries must maintain strict data security, auditability, and
        compliance standards during modernization. Ensuring that the new
        environment meets all legal and operational requirements can increase
        project complexity and duration, especially when dealing with
        cross-border data governance or financial regulations.

Key Market Opportunities - Mainframe Modernization Services Market

    1. Expansion of Cloud-Native and Hybrid Cloud IntegrationEnterprises
       increasingly seek to integrate mainframe applications with cloud-native
       architectures. Modernization services that enable seamless migration to
       hybrid environments--leveraging containerization, microservices, and
       API-driven connectivity--stand to gain significant traction.

    2. Advent of AI-Driven AutomationIncorporating AI and machine learning into
       modernization workflows--such as code refactoring, workload optimization,
       and predictive maintenance--presents a compelling opportunity. Automated
       tools can accelerate migration timelines and reduce errors, unlocking
       cost savings and improved performance.

    3. Rise in Industry-Specific SolutionsTailored modernization offerings for
       regulated industries (like banking, healthcare, and utilities) are in
       demand. Services that embed compliance, data governance, and
       sector-specific integrations provide differentiated value and reduce
       adoption barriers for regulated customers.

    4. Modernization as a Service (MaaS) ModelsConsumption-based offerings--such
       as pay-as-you-go or managed modernization platforms--are gaining appeal.
       These flexible models reduce upfront investment and risk, enabling
       customers to modernize incrementally while benefiting from expert-managed
       support.

    5. M&A and Legacy System ConsolidationsAs organizations undergo mergers,
       acquisitions, or business restructuring, consolidating legacy mainframes
       becomes essential. Modernization services that simplify platform
       consolidation and rationalization across diverse environments are ripe
       for growth.

    6. Emergence of Microservices and API MonetizationTransforming monolithic
       mainframe workloads into modular microservices enables enterprises to
       create new digital offerings and monetization opportunities. Service
       providers that specialize in modern API frameworks and ecosystem
       integration can tap into this growing demand.

Segmentation

Based on Type

    --  Enterprise Size Modernization
    --  Cloud Migration
    --  Data Modernization

Based on Enterprise Size

    --  Small and Medium Enterprise (SME's)
    --  Large Enterprise

Based on End User

    --  IT and Telecom
    --  BFSI
    --  Retail & Healthcare
    --  Government
    --  Others

Based on region

    --  North America
        --  The U.S.
        --  Canada
        --  Mexico
    --  Europe
        --  Germany
        --  France
        --  UK.
        --  Italy
        --  Spain
        --  Rest of Europe
    --  Asia Pacific
        --  China
        --  Japan
        --  India
        --  South Korea
        --  South-east Asia
        --  Rest of Asia Pacific
    --  Latin America
        --  Brazil
        --  Argentina
        --  Rest of Latin America
    --  Middle East & Africa
        --  GCC Countries
        --  South Africa
        --  The Rest of the Middle East and Africa

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Regional Analysis - Mainframe Modernization Services Market

North America, especially the United States, dominates the mainframe modernization market. Enterprises in banking, insurance, and telecom are prioritizing modernization to drive digital transformation and reduce legacy operational costs. Strong presence of major IT service providers and early adoption of cloud and AI-driven tools bolster regional growth. Additionally, favorable regulatory frameworks and large-scale corporate investments support robust spending in modernization services.

Europe shows steady growth driven by government, healthcare, and financial institutions focused on data security and compliance. The European Union's evolving data privacy regulations (e.g., GDPR) compel organizations to modernize legacy systems to meet stringent standards. Hybrid cloud adoption is accelerating as businesses embrace modernization to support cross-border business use cases and achieve system consolidation.

LATAM and MEA regions are gradually embracing modernization, with modern cloud and digital initiatives predominantly led by government and financial sectors. Public sector transformation initiatives and infrastructure upgrades in countries like Brazil, the UAE, and South Africa are creating fresh modernization opportunities. However, progress remains somewhat constrained by economic volatility, limited technical expertise, and budgetary limits.

Credence Research's Competitive Landscape Analysis - Mainframe Modernization Services Market

According to Credence Research, the competitive landscape of the Mainframe Modernization Services Market is characterized by a blend of global IT integrators, cloud hyperscalers, and niche modernization vendors. Leading players such as IBM, Accenture, Cognizant, and DXC Technology dominate the market with comprehensive service portfolios covering consulting, cloud migration, and platform modernization. Major cloud providers like Microsoft Azure and AWS are instrumental in enabling hybrid and cloud-native transformations. Indian IT giants including TCS, Infosys, and Wipro continue to expand their modernization offerings globally, leveraging domain-specific accelerators and cost-efficient delivery models. Meanwhile, specialized vendors like Rocket Software, Unisys, and TmaxSoft offer tailored solutions focused on rehosting, refactoring, and legacy integration with modern technologies such as AI and containerization. Regional players in Europe and Asia-Pacific are also strengthening their presence, supported by growing enterprise demand for industry-specific modernization and regulatory compliance. The market remains highly competitive and innovation-driven, with strategic partnerships and acquisitions playing a vital role in service differentiation and capability enhancement.

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Key Player Analysis

    --  TATA Consultancy Services
    --  Software AG
    --  Oracle Corporation
    --  Mphasis Ltd.
    --  Innova Solutions
    --  IBM Corporation
    --  Fujitsu Limited
    --  DXC Technology
    --  Dell EMC
    --  Cognizant
    --  Capgemini SE
    --  Atos Syntel Inc
    --  Accenture plc

Recent Industry Developments

    --  April 2025 - AWS released version 4.8.0 of AWS Blu Age Runtime and
        Transformation Engines, featuring enhanced database transformation
        capabilities and performance improvements tailored for mainframe
        modernization projects.
    --  March 2025 - Astadia was recognized as a Leader in the ISG Provider Lens
        Mainframes - Services and Solutions 2025 report for its innovative use
        of GenAI agents to accelerate mainframe migration and modernization.
    --  January 2025 - BMC announced major enhancements to its BMC AMI suite,
        integrating hybrid AI functionalities that combine machine learning and
        generative AI to improve root cause analysis and operational efficiency.
    --  November 2024 - Cognizant and IBM partnered to launch the FinOps Center
        for Cloud Innovation, focused on transforming legacy applications
        through tools like Watsonx Code Assistant for Z, enabling hybrid cloud
        adoption and driving cloud cost optimization, ethical AI deployment, and
        multi-cloud efficiency.
    --  March 2024 - Accenture Federal Services collaborated with Microsoft to
        launch an end-to-end Cloud Modernization and Migration Factory on
        Microsoft Azure Government, designed for secure modernization across
        U.S. federal agencies, including those operating in the national
        security domain.
    --  March 2024 - Fujitsu partnered with AWS to support modernization of
        legacy mission-critical applications running on mainframes and UNIX
        servers, offering comprehensive assessment, migration, and modernization
        services for industries such as finance, retail, and automotive.
    --  March 2024 - Accenture Federal Services secured the U.S. Army's
        Enterprise Application Modernization and Migration (EAMM) contract, with
        a potential value of USD 127 million, to deliver large-scale cloud
        assessments, migrations, and application modernizations.

Reasons to Purchase this Report:

    --  Gain a comprehensive understanding of the market through qualitative and
        quantitative analyses, considering both economic and non-economic
        factors, with segmentation and sub-segmentation details provided in
        terms of market value (USD Billion).
    --  Identify regions and segments expected to experience the fastest growth
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        consumption patterns and the factors driving or hindering market
        performance in each region.
    --  Stay informed about the competitive environment, with rankings of major
        players, recent product and service launches, partnerships, business
        expansions, and acquisitions from the past five years.
    --  Access detailed profiles of major market players, including company
        overviews, insights, product benchmarking, and SWOT analysis, to
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    --  Explore the present and forecasted market landscape, with insights into
        growth opportunities, market drivers, challenges, and constraints for
        both developed and emerging regions.
    --  Benefit from Porter's Five Forces analysis and Value Chain insights to
        evaluate various market perspectives and competitive dynamics.
    --  Understand the evolving market scenario, including potential growth
        opportunities and trends expected in the coming years.

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